Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 0.241375 0.278855 0.321502 0.373886 0.436856 0.510563 0.604025
2025-09-21 0.183974 0.232196 0.293321 0.377650 0.492820 0.647358 0.875187
2025-09-28 0.149732 0.201063 0.271334 0.376951 0.535959 0.773762 1.171131
2025-10-05 0.130512 0.184149 0.262293 0.388400 0.594743 0.934309 1.570825
2025-10-12 0.115798 0.170157 0.253547 0.396476 0.647864 1.098430 2.037754
2025-10-19 0.104225 0.158562 0.245716 0.403227 0.698841 1.272042 2.594451
2025-10-26 0.095901 0.150577 0.241933 0.415398 0.761679 1.486580 3.338419
2025-11-02 0.087668 0.141415 0.234436 0.418866 0.807834 1.680947 4.135710
2025-11-09 0.080273 0.132615 0.226088 0.418785 0.846194 1.870367 5.028716
2025-11-16 0.073517 0.124046 0.216835 0.414961 0.875140 2.047089 5.996351
2025-11-23 0.067335 0.115763 0.206938 0.407887 0.894711 2.206840 7.020118
2025-11-30 0.063880 0.112133 0.205541 0.418914 0.961384 2.523477 8.868805
2025-12-07 0.058804 0.104950 0.196292 0.411079 0.979193 2.708126 10.375789
2025-12-14 0.055302 0.100486 0.192115 0.414535 1.029292 3.020915 12.805454
2025-12-21 0.051806 0.095655 0.186536 0.413599 1.067099 3.312012 15.488212
2025-12-28 0.049726 0.093481 0.186418 0.426370 1.149943 3.812848 20.104033
2026-01-04 0.047546 0.090861 0.184956 0.435398 1.224407 4.326289 25.717107
2026-01-11 0.045452 0.088205 0.183065 0.442952 1.296993 4.879575 32.795396
2026-01-18 0.043895 0.086553 0.183312 0.456581 1.395884 5.624195 43.458185
2026-01-25 0.041892 0.083714 0.180361 0.460466 1.461292 6.254959 54.938822
2026-02-01 0.039839 0.080576 0.176308 0.460375 1.512209 6.851989 68.201423
2026-02-08 0.037743 0.077155 0.171170 0.456091 1.545724 7.381940 82.821208
2026-02-15 0.035643 0.073552 0.165187 0.448169 1.562305 7.829315 98.389572